Good news from Birmingham NWS...NOAA weather radio transmitter will be operation for Monday's event. When the NWS cuts upgrades short, you know this event will be significant.
Thanks for posting, I saw a link to it on twitter but I overlooked it cause they've been "releasing info" all day lol.
edit: turns out they aren't sure.. they are hopeful it'll be fixed. lol.
"Based on some late afternoon updates, we are now hopeful that the Birmingham transmitter may be back on the air before the threat of severe weather next week. As you can imagine, pulling together any sort of repair on short notice is challenging in the best of circumstances. We are working closely with technicians and our regional and national management teams to do everything we can to return the transmitter to operations as soon as possible."
Last Edit: Apr 23, 2014 20:57:30 GMT -6 by CajunWX
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0338 AM CDT THU APR 24 2014
VALID 271200Z - 021200Z
...DISCUSSION... ...SIGNIFICANT MULTI-DAY SEVERE EVENT EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MS VALLEY SUNDAY...AND MS VALLEY/CNTRL GULF STATES ON MONDAY...STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...
BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF UPPER LOW AS IT PROGRESSES INTO THE PLAINS SUNDAY...THEN INTO THE MS VALLEY MONDAY. AFTER INITIAL SPEED MAX EJECTS INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS SUNDAY SUBSTANTIAL MID-LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS WITHIN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER TX AND SPREADS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE NCNTRL GULF STATES/TN VALLEY. ECMWF IS MORE SUPPRESSED WITH THIS STRONGER FLOW THAN THE GFS BUT THE IDEA THAT STRONG FLOW SHOULD OVERSPREAD A BUOYANT AIRMASS BOTH DAYS REMAINS.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SURGE THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE PLAINS EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH BOTH AGREEING THAT SIGNIFICANT BOUNDARY LAYER DRYING WILL SPREAD EAST OF I-35 CORRIDOR FAIRLY EARLY SUNDAY. GIVEN THE MID-LEVEL JET THAT EJECTS INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS EARLY THIS MAY TRANSPIRE AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EVOLVE FROM SERN NEB...ACROSS ERN KS/OK INTO NERN TX BEFORE SPREADING INTO WRN MO/AR/NWRN LA.
DEEP SFC CYCLONE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS AND ARCING FRONTAL POSITION AT 12Z MONDAY SHOULD EXTEND ALONG/NEAR THE KS/MO BORDER...SWD INTO SERN TX. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REDEVELOP ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR AS 80KT 500MB FLOW EJECTS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO WRN TN DURING THE DAY. A FEW STRONG TORNADOES MAY BE NOTED WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF DRYLINE/PACIFIC FRONT BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
Last Edit: Apr 25, 2014 11:12:04 GMT -6 by CajunWX
Dixie Alley, specifically Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee will get raked according to the Euro. Monday a 55kt low level jet which is about as bad as it gets along with dew points near 70 degrees. Tuesday the atmosphere reloads with a second shortwave swinging in which would fire off even more severe storms across Dixie Alley.
Last Edit: Apr 24, 2014 12:56:56 GMT -6 by koryp
SKYSUMMITPresident | Director of OperationsAdministrator
.LONG TERM... SPRING STORM DEVELOPS IN THE PLAINS STATES SUNDAY WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW BECOMING DEEP FETCHED ACROSS THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM. SUNDAY SHOULD BE FINE EXCEPT FOR STEADILY INCREASING HUMIDITY AND WIND LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT NOW WITH SHOWING THE INITIAL PUNCH OF CONVECTION WEAKENING UPON APPROACH MONDAY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH WITH THE BULK OF THE INSTABILITY AND DYNAMICS PASSING TO THE NORTH FOR WHAT SHOULD BE AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER EVENT UNDERWAY. THE THREAT APPEARS TO BE LESS IN THE FORECAST AREA BUT THE BETTER HELICITIES MAY MAKE THE EARLIER PRE-FRONTAL PASSAGE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.THE UPPER SYSTEM STALLS OVER THE UPPER PLAINS AND MIDWEST AND SENDS A COLD POOL SOUTHWARD INTO THE HEART OF THE COUNTRY AND THE GULF STATES MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THIS MAY ACTUALLY BE MORE OF SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH THE ACTUAL COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THROUGH THE AREA. THE GFS PASSES THE MAJORITY OF THE SENSIBLE WEATHER THROUGH THE AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY WHEREBY THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF NOW HOLDS FRONTAL PRECIPITATION INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF ACTUALLY STALLS THE FRONT OVER THE AREA FOR A LONG DURATION THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL. AT THIS TIME THE FORECAST WILL LEAN TO THE MORE OPTIMISTIC GFS WITH CONCESSION THAT THE ECMWF MAY BE ON TO SOMETHING.
Last Edit: Apr 24, 2014 14:37:24 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT
LEAD BUYER'S AGENT - BWL Group of Keller Williams, Visit my site at www.guidryrealty.com and like us on FB @bwlgrouprealestateteam
CWOP ID: DW2721, CoCoRaHs Station: LA-TG-11
NWS's Ponchatoula/Hammond Area's COOP Member President | Director of Operations - Gulf Coast Weather
coffeecups: I'm still lurking at the coming weather!
Apr 17, 2017 16:44:08 GMT -6
coffeecups: WOW! My patio was dry when I got home.
Apr 16, 2017 18:22:16 GMT -6
coffeecups: Came home to Harvey from Slidell. Had a little rain here and there. There was no rain in Slidell when I left at 3:30pm. While in NO EAST, I saw where it looked like it was storming around Covington going towards Slidell. Wet but no rain when I got home
Apr 16, 2017 18:21:07 GMT -6
coffeecups: I will eat some strawberries on my cruise in early May---just a few of course, as long as I stay away from my better half.
Apr 13, 2017 20:39:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Yea, had a good bit of strawberries. Did NOT go to the fest though.
Apr 12, 2017 19:48:32 GMT -6
coffeecups: Sky, did you enjoy the strawberries?
Apr 12, 2017 18:43:30 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: yea, we're in a quiet lull right now
Apr 10, 2017 21:19:12 GMT -6
coffeecups: At least with the tropical forecast we have more to go on than fantasy.
Apr 9, 2017 18:00:26 GMT -6
coffeecups: Unfortunately for me, strawberries are a widower maker!
Apr 8, 2017 11:46:43 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man it's gonna be a nice weekend! If you're looking for something to do, head over to the Ponchatoula Strawberry Fest!
Apr 5, 2017 21:35:02 GMT -6
coffeecups: Are you getting like me?
Apr 5, 2017 11:08:26 GMT -6
wsmith0306: Can't believe I've never noticed this before. I must be getting old or blind. or both!
Apr 4, 2017 8:06:37 GMT -6
coffeecups: It felt cool this morning. Very nice weather!!!
Apr 4, 2017 7:13:20 GMT -6
coffeecups: Mary protected me again.
Apr 3, 2017 7:18:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: LOL wsmith....it's just a little chat box
Apr 1, 2017 8:53:27 GMT -6
wsmith0306: What's this "shoutbox" thing all about? I'm at work, so I'm whispering right now. Hope that's allowed :).
Mar 30, 2017 12:38:44 GMT -6
coffeecups: I'm hoping that I don't see any 'rare' rain events here.
Mar 29, 2017 7:39:51 GMT -6
coffeecups: ps I guess the memory of that snow is probably the only winter that I will get.
Mar 25, 2017 7:16:52 GMT -6
coffeecups: Somewhere around 1956 and 1958 it snowed so much that I thought I was in a blizzard. Of course I was only a child then, but the memory of that has NOT been met or surpassed.
Mar 25, 2017 7:15:41 GMT -6