Post by thibodauxwx on Mar 2, 2015 16:43:16 GMT -6
445 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...AND THE ADJACENT NEAR SHORE WATERS...SOUNDS AND TIDAL LAKES. AREAS OF OF DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE THE VISIBILITY TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL PREVAIL UNTIL MID MORNING TUESDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT NEAR SHORE COASTAL WATERS...SOUNDS AND TIDAL LAKES.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING COLD AIR BACK TO THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. SOME WINTER PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN AND POSSIBLY SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF THE ADJACENT PARISHES OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. THOSE WITH INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS DURING THIS TIME FRAME SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO EARLY FRIDAY AS STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
That's crazy, I double checked to make sure it picked up the right location. Guess I didn't actually verify the lat/longs though. 12z Euro came in ever so slightly colder than the prior run. About a 2 degree difference. Not quite the GFS, but it's moving in the right direction.
Twisterdata's click for the sounding forecast has not been working too well lately, I sure hope they fix it. You can only get the sounding forecast by whole degrees of longitude and latitude which could mean a world of a difference.
SKYSUMMITPresident | Director of OperationsAdministrator
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1034 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077- TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-031200- SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE- COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN- UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA- NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE- FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG- HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA- SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE... PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...EL DORADO... SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MINDEN...HOMER...RUSTON... FARMERVILLE...MANSFIELD...COUSHATTA...BIENVILLE...JONESBORO... MONROE...MANY...NATCHITOCHES...WINNFIELD...COLFAX...COLUMBIA... JENA...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...MT PLEASANT... PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...GILMER... JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...HENDERSON... CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN...SAN AUGUSTINE... HEMPHILL 1034 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015
...A WINTRY MIX WILL RETURN TO PORTIONS OF THE FOUR STATE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...
A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL ENTER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...AND THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AROUND DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY...WITH MUCH COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH INTO EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NEAR AND JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WITH A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FARTHER NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS TEMPERATURES QUICKLY FALL TO OR BELOW FREEZING. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WEDNESDAY EVENING OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND POSSIBLY AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR OF NORTH LOUISIANA.
AT THIS TIME...ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA...PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ISOLATED HIGHER ICE ACCUMULATIONS GREATER THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ATOP THE ICE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BE SURE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.
CWOP ID: DW2721, CoCoRaHs Station: LA-TG-11 NWS's Ponchatoula/Hammond Area's COOP Member President | Director of Operations - StormCast
We might not even get much rain for Thursday. My rain chances have been lowered to only 20%. I hope the weather changes for Sunday. They give 60% which won't be too good for an outside birthday party for a 4 year old.
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles la 648 am CST Tuesday Mar 3 2015
Aviation...LIFR and IFR visible and ceilings can be expected through middle to late morning today as fog and stratus slowly mix out and lift. Ceilings may become MVFR this afternoon, however with moisture remaining trapped near the surface fog will occur again tonight with low ceilings and visible expected again. Light NE winds this morning will become southeast to S by late morning.
Previous discussion... /issued 636 am CST Tuesday Mar 3 2015/
Update...updated Euro data looks more in line with the GFS on sufficiently cold temperatures for a wintry mix of precipitation across our northern zones including Jasper, Leesville, Alexandria and Marksville late Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. Will update zones shortly. Went with minimal ice accumulation...about a hundredth of an inch.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 543 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2015
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-041145- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 543 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2015
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE OVER MOST AREAS THROUGH MID MORNING TODAY THEN GRDUALLY LIFT THROUG THIS AFTERNOON. DENSE FOG WILL REFORM NEAR THE COAST EARLY THIS EVENING THEN SPREAD WELL INLAND OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE LIFTING BY MID MORNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A WARM...MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT FAVORS THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.
MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWS INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS SUPPORT RAIN CHANGING OVER TO A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET OR GLAZE IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED FOR LATER UPDATES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
GCWX Board Member NWS Trained Spotter - MOB
coffeecups: Just like that S word, whenever something is not hyped, then it will probably happen.
May 26, 2017 13:52:25 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I'm thinking this hurricane season will keep us a little busy. Nothing scientific, but just the idea that it really hasn't been hyped that much.
May 23, 2017 21:01:18 GMT -6
coffeecups: Guess I better take the sandbags!
May 23, 2017 14:31:18 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Sandbags and squirt cheese
May 22, 2017 20:46:04 GMT -6
coffeecups: Only a week and a half until tropical season!
May 20, 2017 11:12:02 GMT -6
coffeecups: I remember when the temps for May got into the 90's.
May 19, 2017 21:39:50 GMT -6
coffeecups: For the month of May, this weather has been more like April (except for the rain).
May 19, 2017 21:38:52 GMT -6
PinkFreud: No offense to whomever keeps changing the look of this forum, but this white theme is driving me crazy. What happened to the nice blues and grays?
May 17, 2017 23:51:41 GMT -6
coffeecups: That 'some rain on Friday' became a tornado about 3 miles away (as the crow flies). What a surprise! Glad I didn't have any flooding!
May 14, 2017 10:47:58 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Yea, other than maybe some rain on Friday, we may be in a dry stretch.
May 6, 2017 10:08:16 GMT -6
coffeecups: Thanks Sky, looks like good weather for me.
May 5, 2017 21:03:01 GMT -6
coffeecups: I AM very fortunate that I didn't flood last night.
May 4, 2017 12:37:02 GMT -6
coffeecups: Mother Mary took care of my property again. Even the cat's food and water were by the door instead of floating to the drain. AMAZING!
May 4, 2017 12:35:23 GMT -6
coffeecups: Good to hear from you Sky. Is anyone else here??????
May 1, 2017 21:22:36 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Actually Coffee..I haven't been around that much either. At least not nearly as much as I used to. Work has been extremely busy! It's a busy busy time in real estate
Apr 30, 2017 21:06:22 GMT -6
coffeecups: Anyone here besides me and Sky?
Apr 27, 2017 8:34:33 GMT -6
coffeecups: I'm still lurking at the coming weather!
Apr 17, 2017 16:44:08 GMT -6
coffeecups: WOW! My patio was dry when I got home.
Apr 16, 2017 18:22:16 GMT -6
coffeecups: Came home to Harvey from Slidell. Had a little rain here and there. There was no rain in Slidell when I left at 3:30pm. While in NO EAST, I saw where it looked like it was storming around Covington going towards Slidell. Wet but no rain when I got home
Apr 16, 2017 18:21:07 GMT -6