Let's throw out our predictions for this season and look back at who is most correct
Named Storms:12 Hurricanes: 7 Major: 2
I'm thinking we will have a quick start to the season with our first storm or two (aside from this disturbance we are watching now) in June, with activity dying down until August when things start to ramp up.
My landfall risk areas would be below (Red-High, Orange-Medium, Yellow-Low)
Post by SCOT PILIE' on May 13, 2015 20:32:08 GMT -6
Here's what I'm thinking. Warmer than average SSTs closer to the United States along with the potential for periods of below average wind shear in the Central-Eastern Gulf of Mexico and Bahamas region may lead to an increased risk for tropical development in these areas. These development regions also lie close to the U.S., which would tie into a greater risk for landfalls in the southeast United States.
I'm saying: 10-11 Named Systems 4-5 Hurricanes 1-2 Major Hurricanes
I'll post some thoughts on the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season when I get a chance. But one thing for now... The developing El Niño is going to get ridiculous by this summer, with both the ECMWF and CFS showing SST anomalies at 5C + above normal in the equtorial pacific by the critical ASO period. Interestingly enough, this is looking like a Madoki event, with the highest SSTA's focussed in the central Pacific, so I really don't know how this will effect things for hurricane season, much less next winter. But you better believe it will!
I'll do sown research and see if I can find anything on super Madoki El Niño events and how it effects our weather.
SKYSUMMIT: I'm thinking this hurricane season will keep us a little busy. Nothing scientific, but just the idea that it really hasn't been hyped that much.
May 23, 2017 21:01:18 GMT -6
coffeecups: Guess I better take the sandbags!
May 23, 2017 14:31:18 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Sandbags and squirt cheese
May 22, 2017 20:46:04 GMT -6
coffeecups: Only a week and a half until tropical season!
May 20, 2017 11:12:02 GMT -6
coffeecups: I remember when the temps for May got into the 90's.
May 19, 2017 21:39:50 GMT -6
coffeecups: For the month of May, this weather has been more like April (except for the rain).
May 19, 2017 21:38:52 GMT -6
PinkFreud: No offense to whomever keeps changing the look of this forum, but this white theme is driving me crazy. What happened to the nice blues and grays?
May 17, 2017 23:51:41 GMT -6
coffeecups: That 'some rain on Friday' became a tornado about 3 miles away (as the crow flies). What a surprise! Glad I didn't have any flooding!
May 14, 2017 10:47:58 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Yea, other than maybe some rain on Friday, we may be in a dry stretch.
May 6, 2017 10:08:16 GMT -6
coffeecups: Thanks Sky, looks like good weather for me.
May 5, 2017 21:03:01 GMT -6
coffeecups: I AM very fortunate that I didn't flood last night.
May 4, 2017 12:37:02 GMT -6
coffeecups: Mother Mary took care of my property again. Even the cat's food and water were by the door instead of floating to the drain. AMAZING!
May 4, 2017 12:35:23 GMT -6
coffeecups: Good to hear from you Sky. Is anyone else here??????
May 1, 2017 21:22:36 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Actually Coffee..I haven't been around that much either. At least not nearly as much as I used to. Work has been extremely busy! It's a busy busy time in real estate
Apr 30, 2017 21:06:22 GMT -6
coffeecups: Anyone here besides me and Sky?
Apr 27, 2017 8:34:33 GMT -6
coffeecups: I'm still lurking at the coming weather!
Apr 17, 2017 16:44:08 GMT -6
coffeecups: WOW! My patio was dry when I got home.
Apr 16, 2017 18:22:16 GMT -6
coffeecups: Came home to Harvey from Slidell. Had a little rain here and there. There was no rain in Slidell when I left at 3:30pm. While in NO EAST, I saw where it looked like it was storming around Covington going towards Slidell. Wet but no rain when I got home
Apr 16, 2017 18:21:07 GMT -6
coffeecups: I will eat some strawberries on my cruise in early May---just a few of course, as long as I stay away from my better half.
Apr 13, 2017 20:39:35 GMT -6