(Ecmwf)European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. This model runs to 7 days and provides data at 24 hour intervals for sea level pressure, 850 mb winds and temperatures and 500 mb heights. It is usually a confidence model
All of my post, unless stated otherwise are opinionated and are in no way an official forecast.
The 12Z Euro and Canadian models are completely opposite of the 12Z GFS. The Euro particularly raises an eyebrow when looking ahead to next weekend. We know that a strong Canadian front will sweep across the Lone Star State on Tuesday with much chillier temperature late next week. The Euro suggests two cold upper air disturbances passing over our Region after the cold air is in place. Typically in early February IF we can get and shortwave passing over cold air at the surface, interesting things can develop. Looks like a long week of watching the various computer schemes to see if this is a mirage or a real potential.
The 12z ECMWF and CMC are interesting. But are not cold enough for a Gulf Coast winter storm around Mardi Gras at this time. The GFS however, shows a brutal arctic cold outbreak with a hard freeze for our area.
Post by HarahanTim on Jan 31, 2016 18:27:45 GMT -6
As Zack mentioned above, the 12z GFS dropped the moisture. The 18z, brought some of it back, early in the day, but not as much as earlier runs were showing. Hopefully, as we approach 7 days out, we start getting some consistency.
The last two GFS runs, continue to keep Mardi Gras in the clear, but chilly. Last night's run, has the gulf low passing far SE in the gulf on Sunday, missing the central gulf coast. This morning's run, not as parade friendly, as it will give us a wet day Sunday. To be continued!
The 12z GFS forecast for Bacchus: Temperatures in the mid 40's, rain, and gusty. Yuck!
We just can't seem to get cold enough for anything fun!
coffeecups: Just like that S word, whenever something is not hyped, then it will probably happen.
May 26, 2017 13:52:25 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I'm thinking this hurricane season will keep us a little busy. Nothing scientific, but just the idea that it really hasn't been hyped that much.
May 23, 2017 21:01:18 GMT -6
coffeecups: Guess I better take the sandbags!
May 23, 2017 14:31:18 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Sandbags and squirt cheese
May 22, 2017 20:46:04 GMT -6
coffeecups: Only a week and a half until tropical season!
May 20, 2017 11:12:02 GMT -6
coffeecups: I remember when the temps for May got into the 90's.
May 19, 2017 21:39:50 GMT -6
coffeecups: For the month of May, this weather has been more like April (except for the rain).
May 19, 2017 21:38:52 GMT -6
PinkFreud: No offense to whomever keeps changing the look of this forum, but this white theme is driving me crazy. What happened to the nice blues and grays?
May 17, 2017 23:51:41 GMT -6
coffeecups: That 'some rain on Friday' became a tornado about 3 miles away (as the crow flies). What a surprise! Glad I didn't have any flooding!
May 14, 2017 10:47:58 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Yea, other than maybe some rain on Friday, we may be in a dry stretch.
May 6, 2017 10:08:16 GMT -6
coffeecups: Thanks Sky, looks like good weather for me.
May 5, 2017 21:03:01 GMT -6
coffeecups: I AM very fortunate that I didn't flood last night.
May 4, 2017 12:37:02 GMT -6
coffeecups: Mother Mary took care of my property again. Even the cat's food and water were by the door instead of floating to the drain. AMAZING!
May 4, 2017 12:35:23 GMT -6
coffeecups: Good to hear from you Sky. Is anyone else here??????
May 1, 2017 21:22:36 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Actually Coffee..I haven't been around that much either. At least not nearly as much as I used to. Work has been extremely busy! It's a busy busy time in real estate
Apr 30, 2017 21:06:22 GMT -6
coffeecups: Anyone here besides me and Sky?
Apr 27, 2017 8:34:33 GMT -6
coffeecups: I'm still lurking at the coming weather!
Apr 17, 2017 16:44:08 GMT -6
coffeecups: WOW! My patio was dry when I got home.
Apr 16, 2017 18:22:16 GMT -6
coffeecups: Came home to Harvey from Slidell. Had a little rain here and there. There was no rain in Slidell when I left at 3:30pm. While in NO EAST, I saw where it looked like it was storming around Covington going towards Slidell. Wet but no rain when I got home
Apr 16, 2017 18:21:07 GMT -6